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Leading Indicators - Capital shifts and currency resilience

Here we look at the leading indicators in the world of economics. For in-depth analysis into commodities, trade, equities and more.

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Sterling hits 3-year high against the dollar

Sterling has appreciated to around $1.36, its highest level against the dollar since early 2022, driven by broad US dollar weakness and signs of resilience in the UK economy. While this may deter some USD-accretive investors, UK CRE has continued to attract capital, supported by growing interest from key global markets. Japanese investment is up +146% YTD, Australian inflows have surged +612%, and UAE capital is up +1,631%.

Long-term institutional capital steps back into UK CRE 

Pension fund investment into UK commercial real estate surged +366% YoY in H1 2025, with Sovereign Wealth Fund inflows also rising +140%. This renewed momentum signals growing conviction from long-term capital, as institutional investors re-enter the market in scale. Oil-backed sovereign funds, in particular, may diversify into CRE to hedge geopolitical risk and secure stable, long-term income.

AI adoption in Real Estate remains low, but the opportunity is growing 

Only around 25% of real estate businesses are currently using AI, according to the latest ONS BIC survey. While uptake has been slower than in tech-forward sectors, this also highlights significant scope for future growth. As AI technology continues to advance, it presents a clear opportunity to transform how the built environment is managed, from optimising asset performance to enhancing the way occupiers and customers interact.

$1.36

Foreign Exchange Rates, spot prices

+366%

Pension Fund and SWF investment into UK CRE, £m

 

25%

% of business not currently using artificial intelligence technologies

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